Believers Do Not Believe, and Apologetics Is Not What Religion Is For
Here is a claim that sounds like an insult and is meant as an observation: most religious people do not believe their religion. Not in the sense that they are lying. In the sense that the beliefs they profess do not govern what they do, and the gap is wide enough to tell you what religion is actually doing for them, which is not what the doctrines say.
The Evidence From Behaviour
Watch believers rather than listening to them, and the professed beliefs fail to show up.
They mourn exactly as unbelievers do. A person who genuinely expected to be reunited with a dead parent in a better place within a few decades would grieve differently from one who expected nothing. The grief looks identical. Nobody at a religious funeral behaves as though the deceased has caught an early flight to somewhere pleasant.
They do not hurry to heaven. If paradise is real and guaranteed to the faithful, the rational believer would be at least indifferent to death, and many traditions have had to work hard to forbid the obvious shortcut. The forbidding was necessary precisely because the doctrine, taken seriously, points that way, and almost nobody takes it that way.
When it matters, they choose medicine. Faced with a sick child, the believer prays and then drives to the hospital, and the order of those two actions is not what decides the outcome. The same believer who denies evolution takes a vaccine designed from the genetics that demonstrate it, and fuels his car with oil found by a geology that assumes the earth is billions of years old. When the stakes are real, science is trusted and scripture is recited.
They vet their plumber more carefully than their pastor. People spend more effort checking the credentials of the electrician they let into the house than the teachings of the congregation they let into their children. If the claims were believed to be true, and to determine one's eternal fate, this ordering would be insane.
They are not more moral. If believers feared hell and wanted heaven, they would behave measurably better than people who fear neither. The evidence does not show that, and some of it points the other way. This does not prove disbelief; one can believe and fail to act. But it strongly suggests either that the belief is absent or that it does no motivating work, and for practical purposes those are the same thing.
So What Is Religion For?
If the doctrines are not what the believer is holding onto, something else is. The list is not mysterious. Religion supplies a community and the support that comes with it. It supplies an identity and a place in a lineage. It supplies a sense of worth. It quiets the fear of death and disease, softens the loss of loved ones, answers the anxiety about where we stand in the universe, and pushes back the suspicion that none of it matters.
Religion is about feeling, not about propositions. The propositions are the packaging. What is being consumed is consolation, belonging, and meaning, and those goods are real even though the packaging is false. I have written elsewhere that we want purposes evolution did not give us, and that religion has been the main supplier. This is the same point seen from the believer's side.
Why Arguing Theology Misses
Once you see this, the standard atheist strategy looks misaimed.
Arguing against the cosmological argument, dismantling the design inference, cataloguing the contradictions in the text: all of this attacks the packaging. It is like fighting Napoleon by lecturing him on his manners. He does not care, and it is not what he is about. A believer who loses every argument about the existence of God has lost nothing he was actually holding, because he was never holding the arguments. He was holding his community and his comfort, and those are untouched.
This is not a counsel of despair. It is a redirection. The load-bearing question is not whether the arguments work but whether the goods religion supplies can be had without the false packaging. Where they can, religion loses ground without anyone having been out-argued, which is roughly what secularisation has looked like everywhere it has happened.
Then Why Do They Argue?
If religion is not about apologetics, why do believers defend it with logic at all?
Mostly they do not. The great majority of the religious could not state the Kalam argument if their salvation depended on it. They have faith, which means they believe because they believe, and they are untroubled by the absence of reasons.
The minority who do argue are the educated believers, and their situation is different. For them, refusing to defend the faith with reasons would be humiliating. Their opponents would take them for fools, and they do not want to be taken for fools. So they take up apologetics, and the whole discipline turns out to be a response to embarrassment: an emotional need to protect one's standing in front of people who ask for reasons. Which confirms the thesis rather than refuting it. Even the arguing is done for a feeling. I have written about the two kinds of believers and the peculiar dishonesty of the sophisticated one; this is why the sophistication exists in the first place.
What I Take From This
I am not saying believers are hypocrites, or not most of them. They are doing what everyone does: using a tool for what it is good for and not for what the label says. The label says God exists and here is what he wants. The tool delivers you are not alone and it is going to be all right.
The interesting fights are about the second sentence, not the first. Whether it is all right is a question about the world, and the answer is no; whether one can face that and still not be alone is a question about how we organise ourselves, and the answer, I think, is yes. Neither question is settled by a syllogism, and the believers, to their credit, have never pretended otherwise. They just behaved.